空军网络化指挥信息系统作战效能评估指标体系构建?

针对目前网络化指挥信息系统作战效能评估指标体系不完善、且缺乏分项指标计算方法模型等问题,从网络化作战对指挥信息系统的作战需求出发,研究构建了空军网络化指挥信息系统的作战效能评估指标体系,并提出了分项指标概念内涵和计算模型与方法,可为指挥信息系统研制提供参考和支撑,为其作战效能的客观评估提供指标体系和模型方法。     

Limiting survival functions of self‐similar structures

We show the existence of a unique analytic single parameter limiting survival function arising from the repeated composition of a coherent structure as the number of components tends to infinity. Examples include the repeated composition process of the bridge structure. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

A unified model incorporating yield,burn‐in,and reliability

The correlated improvement in yield and reliability has been observed in the case studies on integrated circuits and electronic assemblies. This paper presents a model that incorporates yield and reliability with the addition of a burn‐in step to explain their correlated improvement. The proposed model includes as special cases several yield and reliability models that have been previously published and thus provides a unifying framework. The model is used to derive a condition for which yield functions can be multiplied to obtain the overall yield. Yield and reliability are compared as a function of operation time, and an analytical condition for burn‐in to be effective is also obtained. Finally, Poisson and negative binomial defects models are further considered to investigate how reliability is based on yield. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004.     

Index policies for the routing of background jobs

Arriving (generic) jobs may be processed at one of several service stations, but only when no other (dedicated) jobs are waiting there. We consider the problem of how to route these incoming background jobs to make best use of the spare service capacity available at the stations. We develop an approximative approach to Whittle's proposal for restless bandits to obtain an index policy for routing. The indices concerned are increasing and nonlinear in the station workload. A numerical study testifies to the strong performance of the index policies developed. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

基于模糊理论的武器系统可靠性分析和评价

武器系统可靠性是指在规定条件下和规定时间内完成规定功能的能力。传统的可靠性计算方法是基于概率论的,其失效概率通常应根据第一手的数据。然而,实际上不可能收集到足够的数据,一般是依靠专家的经验来判断估计,这类判断通常与模糊性密切相关。本文基于可靠性理论和模糊数学的原则和方法,建立了一套计算串联系统和并联系统的模糊可靠度的计算公式。应用模糊数对武器装备系统单元可靠性予以模糊评价,并采用模糊可靠性计算模型,对武器系统可靠性进行模糊分析和计算。通过对一高炮武器系统的应用分析,证明了该方法的可行性。     

基于TOPSIS的战区高层反导威胁评估

在分析战区高层反导威胁评估特点的基础上,建立了以来袭TBM发射点、预测落点、射程等为核心的战区高层反导威胁评估模型指标体系并进行了相应的量化,然后利用基于熵值权重确定的TOPSIS理论对模型进行求解。通过实例证明所提出的战区高层反导威胁评估模型和算法的有效性,对研究美军的战区高层反导武器系统具有一定的借鉴意义。     

基于二元决策图的多阶段任务系统可靠性分析

分析了多阶段任务系统(PMS)可靠性分析中传统二元决策图(BDD)建模方法的不足,提出了一种将多阶段任务失效事件分解为互不相容的阶段失效事件,然后分别建立可靠性BDD模型的新方法。通过该方法建立的PMS可靠性BDD模型不但可以计算总体任务失效概率,同时也能计算任务在各阶段发生失效的概率。最后,给出了一个算例,验证了该算法的有效性。     

航天测控通信系统可靠性分析的Krylov子空间投影算法

基于Markov模型对航天测控通信系统进行可靠性分析的过程中,若系统中测控通信设备数量较多,模型中的状态空间随设备数量呈指数增长,将会导致数值计算困难.提出了一种基于Krylov子空间技术的可靠性分析方法,将大规模问题投影至小规模子空间中,求得问题的近似解.实验结果证明,Krylov子空间方法的计算速度及精度优于Ross方法和前向Euler法(forward Euler method,FEM).     

面向装备健康管理的可测性指标研究

可测性指标是开展可测性设计、验证和评估的依据.针对传统可测性指标主要用于故障可检测性和故障可隔离性水平评价,不能全面反映面向装备健康管理可测性水平的问题,在定性分析装备健康管理对可测性的本质需求基础上,从全域和瞬态角度提出了五个可测性指标以定量描述面向装备健康管理的可测性水平;并基于故障模式状态矢量给出了可测性指标的分析计算流程.最后以某装备柴油机的机体子系统为案例详细说明了可测性指标的计算过程,应用结果表明所提指标具有一定的可行性和合理性,可以有效指导面向装备健康管理的可测性优化设计.     

集对分析的弹炮结合防空武器系统可靠性分析

针对传统可靠性分析仅考虑系统正常运行及发生故障两种状态,而没有考虑其在亚健康状态下运行的同题,提出了基于集对分析的弹炮结合防空武器系统在亚健康模式下的可靠性分析方法.首先,在详细分析弹炮结合防空武器系统物理结构模型的基础上,基于集对分析方法,建立了弹炮结合防空武器系统可靠性模型;然后,根据工程应用中的经验数据,对弹炮结合防空武器系统的可靠性进行了实例仿真,结果验证了该模型的合理性和有效性.